I tend to agree with the fisheries manager for the following reasons:
1) I built my cabin in the mid 70's off Kettle Creek 2 miles north of Kettle Creek State Park for 2 reasons. First and foremost was that was located centrally to several watersheds with excellent fly fishing opportunities. 2 miles to Kettle Creek; 15 minutes to Hammersley Fork, 20 minutes to Cross Fork Creek, 35 minutes to Young Woman, Creek, 45 minutes to the East Fork Sinnemehoning Creek, and one hour to Slate Run. And fish those streams I did.
I also witnessed the decline of those creeks. Not only the decline of brook trout in the lower regions of these stream, but the decline of the insect population as well. I doubt we can blame the stocked fish for the decline in insect population.
2) precipitation: As I stated in my original post, this area was hit with several droughts in the 90's and 2,000's. A friend of mine (jack Mickievicz) documented precipitation in the Kettle Creek watershed v. the area where his cabin is located at the confluence of the Pine Creek and the Genesee Fork. The results were pretty astounding. The heavier precipitation typically bypassed the Kettle Creek watershed. And just to let you know how much time I spend there, my wife and I spent approx. 80-90 days there last year. And if the weather was good, we fished (well, I fished and she sits along the bank with me). So I always had the opportunity to monitor stream flows.
3) Rainbow trout v. brown trout: A lot of the brown trout stocked way back when moved from their stocking point in a reasonable amount of time. My experience with the rainbow trout stocked is different.
I will give you 2 examples. First, the rainbows stocked in the Kettle Creek C&R seem to disperse pretty quickly. The second example is Cross Fork Creek, which is smaller than the Kettle Creek. I tend to fish the stocking points in Cross Fork Creek and a few really good holding areas above and below for a reason - health issues. And here is the interesting point, drilled down deeper: When the rainbows are stocked at point "A" they for the most part stay there for a long period of time, not only in the same pool, but in a tight circle like they are in a pen. And IMHO they are as dumb as dirt. I fish the same pool 3 weeks after stocking and there they are in a tight 4' diameter circle. It almost becomes boring catching them. But above and below the stocking points where there is really good holding areas? Few fish caught or seen.
Not the case when the browns were stocked, they were dispersed in good holding water above and below the stocking points. Some of those areas offered excellent fishing.
4) The Hammersley, which is not stocked. As the fisheries manager pointed out, the brookie population waxes and wanes with the volume of precipitation/water temp/oxygen content.