Dave_W wrote:
If one takes the longer view, say a generation, traditional pollutants in the Susky and its watershed have improved.
I'd emphasize that - in my statement above - I'm referring to a
longer view of the watershed.
-Yes, the river is polluted (as are all large river watersheds across PA). I've never said the river isn't polluted... but have sought instead to point out the complexity of the matter, such as the presence of pollution intolerant macros below Hburg, and the fact that the bass crash occurred upriver of Hburg as well as below.
-And it's worth pointing out that phosphorus going into the Bay has indeed increased a bit in recent years... as I've pointed out in recent years. Years with high run-off and flooding are particularly bad for phosphorus, as is common knowledge
The Susquehanna River Basin Commission has tracked pollutants across the watershed for decades. I'd suggest one take some time to review the long term issue of pollution in the watershed here:
SRBC Reports
Scroll down to page 3 where it says:
Long-term trend analyses indicate
nutrient and sediment loadings from
the Susquehanna Basin have either
leveled out or continue to decrease.
Since the 1970s the watershed (emphasis on watershed, referred to as "basin") has shown generally stable or improving data on traditional pollutants like phosphorous and nitrogen over the years, as of 2017. Again, I wish to point out that these are very broad generalizations and broad data. The river and its watershed are complex and yes... suffering from pollution. It's just not dramatically worse than previous decades.
For a good snapshot of the period in the 1980s through late 1990s hit this report and scroll down to page 11 for nitrogen and phosphorus in the lower river. This also reveals the generally stable or improving numbers and specifically mentions improvements in sewage treatment.
Pollution in the lower susky
This report, incidentally, has some excellent information on other problems such as pesticides in ground water and contaminants in fish tissue - well worth a read.
For a good look at nitrogen, phosphorus and suspended sediments in the lower Susky over the last thirty years, hit this study:
Lower Susky Data
Short version:
Here we present a comprehensive evaluation of nutrient and sediment loads over the last three decades at multiple locations in the Susquehanna River basin (SRB), Chesapeake's largest tributary watershed. Sediment and nutrient riverine loadings, including both dissolved and particulate fractions, have generally declined at all sites upstream of Conowingo Dam.
Incidentally, this study supports Afish's point in a post above about the significance of population vs forested land area. While it's true that population has increased around Hburg, the Susky watershed has also seen increased forestation in recent decades, reflecting statewide trends. This report also looks at the problem of legacy sediment in the Conowingo pool - also well worth a read.