foxtrapper1972 wrote:
" I'll add another potential factor: The water quality is probably better now than it was in the 1990's."
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Clean doesn't mean it will be loaded with the things big trout like to eat.
Are you thinking the big trout are leaving seeking more fertile water?
First of all, let me state that I'm not a biologist or in any way qualified to give more than an anecdotal answer to your question. I also haven't studied the electroshocking surveys on Spring Creek; doing so could quickly prove me wrong.
I mentioned that I believe the water quality is better for the purpose of mentioning one change not mentioned by SteveG that could have an impact. Just another factor to consider. Nothing more.
I've seen no evidence that big trout leave Spring Creek to seek more fertile water. I believe fewer trout are getting big in the first place.
With that said, I was thinking along the lines of something that I believe most anglers on this site actually agree on, believe it or not, and that is that the biggest trout in a stream often are located at the point where a trout stream becomes marginal for wild trout, typically in the lower reaches of a stream. And, there are usually only a few big trout there. So, if the water quality were to improve it might favor more small trout and fewer big trout in a section of stream that in the past had favored large trout due to lower quality water.
Obviously, none of Spring Creek was ever truly marginal, but is it possible that it was MORE "marginal" years ago due to lower water quality than it is now and that favored more large trout?
I know, or think I know, from personal observation that the section above Fly Fisherman's Paradise up to, say, the old boundary line for Rockview State Penitentiary, had very few wild trout back in the 1980's and early 1990's. I used to count the redds in this section when I fished it in the autumn and I was lucky to find even ten redds in this entire section. Heck, I used to catch smallmouth bass here. This is also the area where the stream was probably the most marginal since a lot of springs enter the stream far away from this section, both way above and below. The sewer from Rockview also entered above here as well as the trout poop outlet from the Benner Spring Research Station another mile or so upstream. This is the section that I believe used to get the warmest. But the trout that were here were large.
This is the section that I believe has changed the most over the years, as well as being the first area to see most big trout disappear. The sewer outlet from Rockview is gone and the poop from the BSRS has been reduced. Now it has almost no large wild trout but has a good population of small trout, much like the rest of the stream.
One of the reasons big trout exist in these marginal sections is because lower quality water often means more easily attainable large ticket food items. Is it possible there aren't as many large ticket food items in Spring Creek as there used to be? I don't know. To be honest, I don't recall there ever being a lot of large ticket food items there, such as chubs which would be easily seen. Now the largest ticket food item appears to be YOY trout.
Is it possible that higher quality water favors spawning success and fry survival, and that the food chain for trout now gets overwhelmed by little trout eating so much of the food before it ever gets a chance to become the large ticket items that trout need to become big (such as white sucker eggs and fry)? Or maybe if the trout used to get big because there was an abundance of small ticket food items but now those small ticket food items are overwhelmed by small trout, leaving a relative scarcity of small items so trout have less chance to get big on small items?
Does the reduction of big trout in the miles of streams below the hatchery at Fly Fisherman's Paradise down to Bellefonte coincide with the clean-up of the trout poop at this hatchery?
I think I rambled here and probably didn't give much support to my thoughts, but at least it gives you something to think about.