Hardly. Given the characteristics of exotic fish invasions and their population reproductive trends, if an invasive predatory fish (and sometimes a competitor of the forage fish) has not substantially reduced a forage fish population in relatively short order (a few fish generations) in a given water body or a segment thereof where the invader is most abundant, it’s not likely to do so unless there is a second substantial increase in that predatory fish population, which could occur with changes in habitat/water quality.
One doesn’t need to know about independent variables within a given population of wild BT and logperch to know that each is thriving at a point in time based on their abundance index values. You don’t have to know the cause to know that a fish is abundant, but it’s helpful if you would like to try to duplicate that elsewhere. For example, logperch were scarce in a silty stream upstream from two impoundments, but was it the silt in the creek or the blockage by the impoundments preventing upstream migration from the river that was the problem? Given the age of the impoundments, I’m betting on the silt. Studying it doesn’t change the fact that they are scarce.
Even when reproduction in the year of the survey has been poor, evidence of previous strong year classes is suggestive of a thriving population. We know that reproductive success varies from yr to yr in fish populations. Furthermore, some forage fish are so abundant in some streams that even an index of abundance value seems unnecessary at the time unless it is used in the future for comparison. Sometimes it is obvious to the trained eye that the species is abundant, but measuring that abundance assigns a number to the population for future comparative work. Even if a species’ abundance has declined over time, prior to any surveys, the species may still score high in an abundance index.