lycoflyfisher wrote:
Frank, your records and willingness to share your data always has impressed me. Your insight into threads such as this is always appreciated in my opinion. I am always too focused on my surroundings and catching fish, that I could never keep tallies of individual fish like you do, however, I am now wishing I would have taking better notes for both fishing and hunting purposes over the years.
It sounds like your probability estimate is probably accurate within reason, but I know I would be interested in a detailed summary on the probability of catching a wild tiger trout after sifting through your data as mentioned above. I do have one question as how you would determine streams that have only brook trout or brown trout thus eliminating fish caught in those streams in your tally. I am sure your records are representative of the respective trout populations in each stream; however, brown trout especially seem to show up in virtually every stream that I fish. That is unless there are barriers preventing upstream movement or pH issues that are more suitable for ST.
Hi lycoflyfisher,
Fair question. I'm sure other anglers are wondering the same thing.
I know of only a few streams that hold native brook trout and no wild brown trout. I determine this by noticing in my statistics that I have never caught a wild brown trout there. As RLeep2, a member of this board who lives, dispositionally, one mile south of Lake LeBoeuf once said many years ago, spinner fishing is the closest thing there is to electro-shocking. If I've fished a stream many times and have never caught a wild brown trout there I feel pretty certain no wild brown trout live there. Technically though, I admit it is possible that some wild brown trout live in these creeks.
With this said, all of the native-brookie-only (NBO) streams that I can think of off the top of my head all have physical barriers that prevent wild brown trout from migrating there. I also probably should note that I know of streams that have physical barriers but still have wild brown trout. One of the NBO streams that I fish has yielded thousands of brookies over the last 35 years that I've fished it, the largest being 15.5".
Ruling out trout caught (from my original denominator of 315,258 trout) in streams I feel are brown-trout-only is a little more subjective. I'm sure it will come as no surprise to anyone that I backed out all trout caught in Spring Creek (Centre County), the Little Juniata River, and Penns Creek. We all know that these streams are wild brown trout fisheries, but yet it is possible that an angler could catch a wild tiger trout in any of these three streams.
Spring Creek has native brook trout in at least three headwater streams as well as a couple UNT's, so it is possible that a wild tiger trout could hatch there and migrate down to Spring Creek. Theoretically, a wild tiger trout could even migrate into the lower end of Spring Creek via Bald Eagle Creek, which has tributaries containing both species. However, I consider this all unlikely, thus I backed out all trout caught in Spring Creek.
I once caught a tiger trout (maybe 7" - 8") in the LJR within 100 yards of the mouth of a feeder stream that holds both native brook and wild brown trout. I did NOT count it as a wild tiger trout because I just felt it was highly unlikely for there to be a wild tiger trout in the LJR, though it looked very similar to other wild ones I've caught. The main reason I didn't count it is because it was spongy to the touch (much like most PFBC stocked brook trout). Healthy wild trout are typically very muscular. Realistically, I think it is proper to back out all trout caught in the LJR.
Like many of the anglers on this site, I've caught quite a few native brookies in Penns Creek, not to mention that many of its tributaries hold a mix of brookies and browns. I once caught about a dozen native brookies in succession in one short riffle about a quarter mile above the mouth of Cherry Run (at the first curve against the mountain - below the Blue Rock Pool). Despite this I still feel it is proper to back out all trout caught in Penns Creek.
I also backed out all trout caught on a bunch of small limestone streams that are clearly wild brown trout fisheries. However, when I think of each of these streams I would have to agree that it is possible that a wild tiger trout could gain access to any one of them.
Technically speaking, there could be a wild tiger trout in any stream, even NBO water. Heck, a minnow fisherman could have a wild tiger trout mixed in with the minnows he illegally trapped in a wild trout stream and then discard his leftover minnows at the end of the day in NBO water.
When I subtracted trout from my denominator I was just trying to make an adjustment so that my ratio would show approximately how many native brookies and wild brown trout an angler would have to catch on average before he would luck into a wild tiger trout in streams where wild tiger trout were hatched. I don't consider my calculation to be scientific; I was just trying to narrow it down to a reasonable expectation.