This is a good thread, and there’s some stuff here I’ll incorporate in and try next time. If I’m being honest, my usual approach for “deciphering a hatch” in regard to a fish I can’t catch is to just pick a different fish. I’ll do that more frequently than I’ll change a fly. But I probably shouldn’t sometimes.
One thing that I seem to learn every year in mid/late May on Penns, and seemingly forget by the next year...When there’s tons of MB’s and even some GD’s hatching and in the air, the fish are still usually eating Sulphur emergers more often than not, and whether you actually see any Sulphurs or not. Point being, they’re not always eating the bug you actually see, and this seems especially common with Sulphurs, on streams with more diverse macro populations. On Spring, Sulphurs are pretty much the only bug in town in late May, but on Penns there’s numerous species hatching at once. This year, I’m rigging up a Sulphur parachute first!